Can I play the trifecta, with a Clinton write-in a distant 3rd?

Excellent Huffpost piece about how bookmakers are far better at predicting election outcomes than pollsters.

Interesting factoids: The UK bookmakers Betfair were 91% certain Bush would win in 2004, even when Kerry was leading in early exit polls.

This Tuesday? A $7 bet will get you only $8 if you're betting on Barack, whereas if you put $1 on McCain you stand to pull in $6.80 should the old codger somehow manage to pull it off.

That's what they call long odds.

No comments: